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BiggerPockets - 5 Paid-Off Rentals vs. 15 Rentals with Mortgages

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Short Summary

Main recommendation: once you own about five rentals, Dave Meyer personally favors paying down debt (deleveraging) over continuing to scale, because it gets you to debt-free, tax-advantaged cash flow sooner. He argues the right choice depends on whether your goal is faster financial freedom or maximizing net worth, and he recommends a middle path of being selective about new deals.

Key Points

  • Scale scenario: reinvesting all cash flow plus $1,250/month of outside income into new $400,000 properties grows the portfolio to 15 rentals over 30 years, with about $6.6 million in estimated equity and about $99,000 in annual cash flow at year 30, with about $3 million in debt still remaining.
  • Pay-down scenario: using the same $2,500/month to pay off the five existing mortgages makes the portfolio debt-free in 17 years, producing about $135,000 in annual tax-advantaged cash flow, roughly 35% more cash flow (Dave also says 'almost 40% more' later), reached 13 years earlier.
  • Trade-off: the pay-down path ends with about $4.36 million in equity, about $2.3 million less than the scale path, but with less work and fewer responsibilities.
  • Dave's own choice is pay-down, because his priorities are freedom over his time, simplicity, and a smaller portfolio with fewer maintenance problems.
  • Dave suggests a hybrid approach for later in a career: be opportunistic and selective about purchases, and use larger down payments or 15-year mortgages on excellent assets to deleverage.

Details Worth Noting

  • Concrete instructions:
    • Set your baseline: assume five properties bought around $400,000 each, with about $3,400 monthly rent and about $250/month net cash flow per property after all expenses (including a property manager) — roughly $1,250/month total.
    • For scaling, save all cash flow plus about $1,250/month of extra income until you have about $100,000 for a 25% down payment, then buy another roughly $400,000 property; repeat this about every two to three years.
    • For paying down, direct the full $2,500/month toward the mortgages as aggressively as possible; the debt does not grow because no new properties are bought.
    • To deleverage a future purchase, put down 30%, 40%, or 50% instead of 25%, or consider a 15-year mortgage (often around 0.75 percentage points lower in rate, though this varies) if the deal still cash flows at roughly 5–7%.
    • Before choosing, define your goal (faster financial freedom versus maximum net worth) and make sure your strategy matches it.
  • Caveat: the cash flow in the scale scenario is largely reinvested, so you do not take that income for lifestyle use until year 30. Even after stopping purchases, you still carry debt, so the big cash flow jump may take decades longer.
  • The figures are illustrative: Dave states that the exact numbers vary with purchase price, cash flow, and timeline. He assumes 3% annual appreciation and 2% annual cash flow growth in the model.
  • Dave's own path: he spent about 10–11 years acquiring properties, starting at age 22, then shifted to a lower-debt, higher-cash-flow approach around age 32–33; he is now 38 and buys selectively.

Bottom Line

Growth maximizes equity, but deleveraging gets you to income-based independence sooner with less risk and upkeep, so the right choice depends on your personal goals.