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Coffee Business Basics - This is Why Most Coffee Shops Don’t Make Money

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Short Summary

Main recommendation: Cafe owners should know their numbers and actively control three costs, gross profit, labor, and occupancy (rent), because these determine whether a coffee shop makes money. The speaker argues that most cafes fail not from a bad product but from poor financial tracking and cost control.

Key Points

  • The profit and loss statement (P&L, which the speaker calls "the cool kids'" name) is the key report; gross profit covers only product costs, while operating profit (EBITDA) comes after labor, rent, and other expenses and sets the business's sale value.
  • Using a $5 takeaway flat white (12 oz) as an example, after 10% GST (Australia) the price is $4.55, ingredients (coffee, milk, cup, lid) cost $1.24, based on typical ingredient costs, leaving $3.31 gross profit, or 73%.
  • Benchmarks cited from the Australian tax office put coffee shop cost of goods sold (COGS) at 35–40%; the speaker's best-practice target is 30–35%, meaning a gross profit above 65%, and below 60% makes decent net profit hard.
  • Labor is often the biggest cost, around 40% or more of sales in Australia, and is hard to manage because fixed rosters keep wages constant even when sales drop.
  • Occupancy (rent plus outgoings) should ideally be about 10% of sales or less; since rent is usually fixed, the only fix for high occupancy cost is raising sales.

Details Worth Noting

  • Concrete instructions:
    • Calculate profit on every menu item: when adding a new product, weigh each ingredient, enter it into a spreadsheet, and compare margins across the menu.
    • Accept trade-offs deliberately: pre-made supplier food costs more per item but reduces labor; bagged coffee and bottled drinks have lower gross margins but are simple add-on sales that add little labor cost.
    • Rough pricing hack for ready-to-serve items (such as cookies or croissants): start with the wholesale price and triple it; if you believe customers will pay that, the margin is workable. The speaker says to use this with caution.
    • Raise prices annually: check competitors each year, confirm gross profit stays healthy, then make a simple price change without a big announcement.
    • Build the roster to a daily budget: enter projected daily sales in a spreadsheet (or budgeting software), allocate staff to shifts, check the expected labor percentage as each day completes, and adjust toward your target.
    • If labor is too high, address root causes: increase sales on slow days, or adjust the service model or menu so you can run with fewer staff.
  • The speaker notes that the 40% labor figure is Australian and varies by country because of minimum wage differences.
  • Labor cost includes wages, salaries, benefits, and taxes.
  • Occupancy often runs high for new businesses in prime locations (street corners, shopping centers) and tends to fall as sales grow; some leases charge a percentage of sales or a combination, but fixed rent is typical.
  • The speaker frames these figures as rough averages, since every business model and region differs.

Bottom Line

Profitability depends less on the product's appeal and more on tracking gross profit, labor, and occupancy closely and acting on them early.